Cable, Satellite & Interactive Media
Communications Equipment & Services
Digital Media Software
Enterprise Communications Technology
IT Services & Enterprise Software
Financial Services & Banks
Semiconductors
Cable, Satellite & Interactive Media
The cable TV industry generates some $50 billion in video
sales annually. Its basic video sales are stagnant due to satellite TV competition.
However, with digital video, cable modem service, and soon, VoIP, MSO sales are positioned
to sustain their high-single-digit/low-double-digit sales and EBITDA growth through next
year. The shares have fallen this year, and are generally attractively priced.
|
Company |
Ticker |
|
Activision Inc. |
ATVI |
|
Cablevision Systems
Corp. |
CVC |
|
Comcast Corp. |
CMCSA |
|
DirecTV, Inc. |
DTV |
|
EchoStar
Communications Corp. |
DISH |
|
Electronic Arts |
ERTS |
|
Gemstar- TV Guide
|
GMST |
|
Glu Mobile Inc. |
GLUU |
|
MasTec, Inc. |
MTZ |
|
NDS Group plc. |
NNDS |
|
OpenTV Corp. |
OPTV |
|
Take-Two Interactive
Software Inc. |
TTWO |
|
THQ Inc. |
THQI |
|
TiVo Inc. |
TIVO |
Communications
Equipment & Services
As
the competition in the communication services industry intensifies,
market observers are apt to see a shift in capital spending toward
wireless, consumer broadband, video, and enterprise services. The
long-anticipated network convergence is taking hold with voice, video
and data applications increasingly becoming resident on a single network
platform. Moreover, competition among the traditional
telecommunications carriers and cable operators is escalating as the
former enter the video services market, while cable operators
aggressively pursue voice services. To enable these services, service
providers of all sorts will need to invest in network infrastructure to
boost bandwidth capacity from the core to edge to the home. While
aggregate capital spending is not likely to spike upward, spending
priorities are shifting toward supporting these growth initiatives. In
our coverage, we have focused on companies that have developed product
portfolios that are closely aligned with the growth strategies of the
various service providers, as we expect these companies to be better
positioned to deliver sustainable growth over a several year time
horizon.
|
Company |
Ticker |
|
ADC Telecommunications, Inc. |
ADCT |
|
ADTRAN, Inc. |
ADTN |
|
ARRIS Group, Inc. |
ARRS |
|
C-COR, Inc. |
CCBL |
|
Covad Communications Group, Inc. |
DVW |
|
j2 Global Communications |
JCOM |
|
Motorola, Inc. |
MOT |
|
PAETEC Holding Corp. |
PAET |
|
Tellabs Inc. |
TLAB |
|
Time Warner Telecom, Inc. |
TWTC |
Digital Media Software
Digital Media
Software is a universe categorization unique to Kaufman Bros., LP
and is composed of three sub-categories. (It should be noted that
we use a broad definition of media, whereas formal definitions may
only include the usual: text, images, video and audio, we have
extended the definition to include engineering designs as well.)
The three sub-categories of companies in our universe are, namely,
content creation (ADBE,
ADSK, ANSS, AVID, PMTC, DTSI, DLB, MSCS, NUAN & SNIC),
content management (OTEX
& IWOV), and the
sale/distribution of digital content (GYI, RNWK, &
NAPS). Each category represents a pillar in the content lifecycle.
That said,
even though the inherent purpose of each stage differs by means of
functionality and therefore so do the respective companies, there
are common threads driving adoption of these technologies across
sectors and belief that the adoption of these technologies will
affect how creators and consumers work and engage with the media.
|
Company |
Ticker |
|
Adobe Systems, Inc. |
ADBE |
|
ANSYS, Inc. |
ANSS |
|
Autodesk, Inc. |
ADSK |
|
Avid Technology |
AVID |
|
Dolby Laboratories, Inc. |
DLB |
|
DTS, Inc. |
DTSI |
|
Getty Images Inc. |
GYI |
|
Interwoven Inc. |
IWOV |
|
iRobot Corp. |
IRBT |
|
MSC Software CP |
MSCS |
|
Napster, Inc. |
NAPS |
|
Nuance Communications, Inc. |
NUAN |
|
Open Text Corp. |
OTEX |
|
Parametric Technology Corp.
|
PMTC |
|
RealNetworks, Inc. |
RNWK |
|
Sonic Solutions |
SNIC |
Enterprise
Communications Technology
In
the Enterprise Communications Equipment industry, the two main drivers
are the convergence of voice, video and data networks and the
collaboration of new applications to improve productivity and
competitive ability. We believe the catalysts for enterprise spending
include VoIP, the introduction of mobility into the workplace and the
deployment of server and application virtualization technology. In
addition, a modest replacement cycle is occurring as enterprising is
still recovering from the under investment in the earlier part of the
decade. While the adoption of new technologies has been at a
slower-than-anticipated rate, we believe the key for equipment vendors
is to demonstrate an attractive ROI and compelling business rationale.
|
Company |
Ticker |
|
3Com Corp. |
COMS |
|
Avaya Inc. |
AV |
|
Avocent Corp. |
AVCT |
|
Citrix Systems, Inc. |
CTXS |
|
Equinix, Inc. |
EQIX |
|
Extreme Networks, Inc. |
EXTR |
|
F5 Networks |
FFIV |
|
Foundry Networks, Inc. |
FDRY |
|
Logitech International |
LOGI |
|
NetScout Systems, Inc. |
NTCT |
|
Packeteer Inc. |
PKTR |
|
Plantronics Inc. |
PLT |
|
Polycom, Inc. |
PLCM |
|
RADVISION Corp. |
RVSN |
|
SAVVIS Inc. |
SVVS |
|
Switch & Data Facilities Co., Inc. |
SDXC |
|
Telanetix |
TNXI.OB |
Financial
Services & Banks
The financials
sector is the largest of the S&P industry sectors and consists of
many sub-sectors within the specialty finance and banking segment.
We focus on debt purchasers or service providers, regional banks and
specialty finance segments involved in lending or packaging
consumer, commercial or retail loans. Monetization of assets is a
global industry, which is emerging based on the creative ability of
finance companies to originate, package and sell assets, and the
demand from buyers with a focus on the purchase of long-term assets
as global liquidity grows.
|
Company |
Ticker |
|
Asta Funding Inc. |
ASFI |
|
EuroBancshares, Inc. |
EUBK |
|
MRU Holdings, Inc. |
UNCL |
|
Popular Inc. |
BPOP |
|
Portfolio Recovery Associates Inc. |
PRAA |
IT
Services & Enterprise Software
The IT
Services and Enterprise Software sector includes companies that
either sell packaged software applications to corporate customers or
provide consulting and programming services to help these customers
implement packaged software, write new applications or maintain
existing systems. These segments, some of the largest in the
technology sector, include IT Services firms such as Accenture, EDS,
IBM and Infosys, while the larger enterprise software providers
include Oracle, SAP, Microsoft and Salesforce.com. Sub-segments
include firms with a particular vertical industry focus (such as
telecommunications with the likes of Amdocs, Convergys and CSG), the
India-based IT Services firms (such as Infosys, TCS and Wipro) and
those offering software on a hosted “software-as-a-service” basis
(including Salesforce.com and NetSuite). We believe that demand for
software and IT Services will remain robust in 2008 despite concerns
about slowing IT spending stemming from U.S. economic woes.
|
Company |
Ticker |
|
Amdocs Ltd. |
DOX |
|
Convergys Corp. |
CVG |
|
Cognizant Technology Solutions |
CTSH |
|
CSG Systems International, Inc. |
CY |
|
Genpact Ltd. |
G |
|
Infosys Technologies Ltd. |
INFY |
Semiconductors
The Global
Semiconductor industry is expected to grow to $260 billion in
revenue in 2007, up +5% Y/Y and accelerate in 2008 to typical
historical annual growth at 8%-10% Y/Y. Unit demand in the large
semiconductor markets, such as PCs and Handsets, are expected to
track greater than 10% Y/Y, supporting this growth. We currently see
a well balanced supply chain and healthy utilization levels,
allowing semiconductor companies to participate in this growth.
Across the various semiconductor sectors, such as processors/memory
and analog, we expect relatively balanced growth. We believe, in the
current environment, that reasonably priced growth names with
sustainable fundamental momentum, as well as value names with
improving fundamentals, can provide attractive investment
opportunities, given the stable overall environment.
|
Company |
Ticker |
|
Broadcom Corp. |
BRCM |
|
LSI Corporation |
LSI |
|
Marvell Technology Group Ltd. |
MRVL |
|
RF Micro Devices, Inc. |
RFMD |
|
Silicon Laboratories, Inc. |
SLAB |
|
Cypress Semiconductor Corp. |
CY |
|
Integrated Device Technology Inc. |
IDTI |
|
NVIDIA Corporation |
NVDA |
|
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