Equity Research Industry Coverage

Cable, Satellite & Interactive Media
Communications Equipment & Services                                                            
Digital Media Software
Enterprise Communications Technology
IT Services & Enterprise Software
Financial Services & Banks
Semiconductors
 

Cable, Satellite & Interactive Media

The cable TV industry generates some $50 billion in video sales annually. Its basic video sales are stagnant due to satellite TV competition. However, with digital video, cable modem service, and soon, VoIP, MSO sales are positioned to sustain their high-single-digit/low-double-digit sales and EBITDA growth through next year. The shares have fallen this year, and are generally attractively priced.
 

Company

Ticker

Activision Inc.

ATVI

Cablevision Systems Corp.

CVC

Comcast Corp.

CMCSA

DirecTV, Inc.

DTV

EchoStar Communications Corp.

DISH

Electronic Arts

ERTS

Gemstar- TV Guide

GMST

Glu Mobile Inc.

GLUU

MasTec, Inc.

MTZ

NDS Group plc.

NNDS

OpenTV Corp.

OPTV

Take-Two Interactive Software Inc.

TTWO

THQ Inc.

THQI

TiVo Inc.

TIVO

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Communications Equipment & Services

As the competition in the communication services industry intensifies, market observers are apt to see a shift in capital spending toward wireless, consumer broadband, video, and enterprise services.  The long-anticipated network convergence is taking hold with voice, video and data applications increasingly becoming resident on a single network platform.  Moreover, competition among the traditional telecommunications carriers and cable operators is escalating as the former enter the video services market, while cable operators aggressively pursue voice services.  To enable these services, service providers of all sorts will need to invest in network infrastructure to boost bandwidth capacity from the core to edge to the home.  While aggregate capital spending is not likely to spike upward, spending priorities are shifting toward supporting these growth initiatives.  In our coverage, we have focused on companies that have developed product portfolios that are closely aligned with the growth strategies of the various service providers, as we expect these companies to be better positioned to deliver sustainable growth over a several year time horizon.
 

Company

Ticker

ADC Telecommunications, Inc. ADCT

ADTRAN, Inc.

ADTN

ARRIS Group, Inc.

ARRS

C-COR, Inc.

CCBL

Covad Communications Group, Inc.

DVW

j2 Global Communications

JCOM

Motorola, Inc.

MOT

PAETEC Holding Corp.

PAET

Tellabs Inc.

TLAB

Time Warner Telecom, Inc.

TWTC


 

Digital Media Software

Digital Media Software is a universe categorization unique to Kaufman Bros., LP and is composed of three sub-categories.  (It should be noted that we use a broad definition of media, whereas formal definitions may only include the usual: text, images, video and audio, we have extended the definition to include engineering designs as well.)  The three sub-categories of companies in our universe are, namely, content creation (ADBE, ADSK, ANSS, AVID, PMTC, DTSI, DLB, MSCS, NUAN & SNIC), content management (OTEX & IWOV), and the sale/distribution of digital content (GYI, RNWK, & NAPS).  Each category represents a pillar in the content lifecycle.  That said, even though the inherent purpose of each stage differs by means of functionality and therefore so do the respective companies, there are common threads driving adoption of these technologies across sectors and belief that the adoption of these technologies will affect how creators and consumers work and engage with the media.

 

Company

Ticker

Adobe Systems, Inc. ADBE

ANSYS, Inc.

ANSS

Autodesk, Inc.

ADSK

Avid Technology

AVID

Dolby Laboratories, Inc.

DLB

DTS, Inc.

DTSI

Getty Images Inc.

GYI

Interwoven Inc.

IWOV

iRobot Corp.

IRBT

MSC Software CP MSCS

Napster, Inc.

NAPS

Nuance Communications, Inc.

NUAN

Open Text Corp. OTEX

Parametric Technology Corp.

PMTC

RealNetworks, Inc.

RNWK

Sonic Solutions

SNIC

Enterprise Communications Technology

In the Enterprise Communications Equipment industry, the two main drivers are the convergence of voice, video and data networks and the collaboration of new applications to improve productivity and competitive ability.  We believe the catalysts for enterprise spending include VoIP, the introduction of mobility into the workplace and the deployment of server and application virtualization technology.  In addition, a modest replacement cycle is occurring as enterprising is still recovering from the under investment in the earlier part of the decade. While the adoption of new technologies has been at a slower-than-anticipated rate, we believe the key for equipment vendors is to demonstrate an attractive ROI and compelling business rationale.
 

Company

Ticker

3Com Corp.

COMS

Avaya Inc.

AV

Avocent Corp.

AVCT

Citrix Systems, Inc.

CTXS

Equinix, Inc.

EQIX

Extreme Networks, Inc.

EXTR

F5 Networks

FFIV

Foundry Networks, Inc.

FDRY

Logitech International

LOGI

NetScout Systems, Inc.

NTCT

Packeteer Inc.

PKTR

Plantronics Inc.

PLT

Polycom, Inc.

PLCM

RADVISION Corp.

RVSN

SAVVIS Inc.

SVVS

Switch & Data Facilities Co., Inc.

SDXC

Telanetix

TNXI.OB



Financial Services & Banks


The financials sector is the largest of the S&P industry sectors and consists of many sub-sectors within the specialty finance and banking segment.  We focus on debt purchasers or service providers, regional banks and specialty finance segments involved in lending or packaging consumer, commercial or retail loans.  Monetization of assets is a global industry, which is emerging based on the creative ability of finance companies to originate, package and sell assets, and the demand from buyers with a focus on the purchase of long-term assets as global liquidity grows.

 

Company

Ticker

Asta Funding Inc.

ASFI

EuroBancshares, Inc.

EUBK

MRU Holdings, Inc.

UNCL

Popular Inc.

BPOP

Portfolio Recovery Associates Inc.

PRAA

 

IT Services & Enterprise Software

The IT Services and Enterprise Software sector includes companies that either sell packaged software applications to corporate customers or provide consulting and programming services to help these customers implement packaged software, write new applications or maintain existing systems. These segments, some of the largest in the technology sector, include IT Services firms such as Accenture, EDS, IBM and Infosys, while the larger enterprise software providers include Oracle, SAP, Microsoft and Salesforce.com. Sub-segments include firms with a particular vertical industry focus (such as telecommunications with the likes of Amdocs, Convergys and CSG), the India-based IT Services firms (such as Infosys, TCS and Wipro) and those offering software on a hosted “software-as-a-service” basis (including Salesforce.com and NetSuite). We believe that demand for software and IT Services will remain robust in 2008 despite concerns about slowing IT spending stemming from U.S. economic woes.

 

Company

Ticker

Amdocs Ltd.

DOX

Convergys Corp.

CVG

Cognizant Technology Solutions

CTSH

CSG Systems International, Inc.

CY

Genpact Ltd.

G

Infosys Technologies Ltd.

INFY

 

Semiconductors

The Global Semiconductor industry is expected to grow to $260 billion in revenue in 2007, up +5% Y/Y and accelerate in 2008 to typical historical annual growth at 8%-10% Y/Y. Unit demand in the large semiconductor markets, such as PCs and Handsets, are expected to track greater than 10% Y/Y, supporting this growth. We currently see a well balanced supply chain and healthy utilization levels, allowing semiconductor companies to participate in this growth. Across the various semiconductor sectors, such as processors/memory and analog, we expect relatively balanced growth. We believe, in the current environment, that reasonably priced growth names with sustainable fundamental momentum, as well as value names with improving fundamentals, can provide attractive investment opportunities, given the stable overall environment.

Company

Ticker

Broadcom Corp.

BRCM

LSI Corporation

LSI

Marvell Technology Group Ltd.

MRVL

RF Micro Devices, Inc.

RFMD

Silicon Laboratories, Inc.

SLAB

Cypress Semiconductor Corp.

CY

Integrated Device Technology Inc.

IDTI

NVIDIA Corporation

NVDA

 

 

 




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